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September 30, 2026 · PDUFA decision

SRRK PDUFA decision: a negative outcome, -6.4%

On September 30, 2026, Scholar Rock Holding Corporation reached its PDUFA decision. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -6.4% in the window around the event. It had already run +5.5% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$55.41
1d before
$51.85
Event day
$50.00
1d after
$46.65
5d after

Our prediction vs. the result

CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.9% expected); the stock actually moved -6.4%. Model confidence at the time: 300%.

See the full scored track record

Pre-catalyst setup

+5.5%
30-day run-up
4093%
30-day volatility
0.9×
volume spike