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March 16, 2020 · Phase 3 readout

RHHBY Phase 3 readout: a negative outcome, -7.3%

On March 16, 2020, Omalizumab — Roche Holding AG (Nasal Polyps) reached its Phase 3 readout. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -7.3% in the window around the event. It had already run -7.1% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$40.30
1d before
$37.34
Event day
$39.29
1d after
$36.09
5d after

Pre-catalyst setup

-7.1%
30-day run-up
7151%
30-day volatility