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August 4, 2026 · earnings

VERA earnings: a negative outcome, -7.1%

On August 4, 2026, Vera Therapeutics, Inc. reached its earnings. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -7.1% in the window around the event. It had already run -22.1% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$32.23
1d before
$29.95
Event day
$30.35
1d after
$32.02
5d after

Our prediction vs. the result

CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+3.0% expected); the stock actually moved -7.1%. Model confidence at the time: 75%.

See the full scored track record

Pre-catalyst setup

-22.1%
30-day run-up
4924%
30-day volatility
0.7×
volume spike