September 23, 2026 · regulatory event
TRAX regulatory event: a negative outcome, -10.7%
On September 23, 2026, First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. reached its regulatory event. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -10.7% in the window around the event. It had already run -10.8% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$41.03
1d before
$36.66
Event day
$36.66
1d after
$36.66
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.3% expected); the stock actually moved -10.7%. Model confidence at the time: 100%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
-10.8%
30-day run-up
6618%
30-day volatility
1.3×
volume spike