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October 29, 2024 · earnings

TMDX earnings: a negative outcome, -29.9%

On October 29, 2024, TransMedics Group, Inc. reached its earnings. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -29.9% in the window around the event. It had already run -21.3% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$126.24
1d before
$88.50
Event day
$81.92
1d after
$82.40
5d after

Pre-catalyst setup

-21.3%
30-day run-up
3809%
30-day volatility
3.1×
volume spike