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May 6, 2026 · Data Readout

RGNX Data Readout: a negative outcome, -37.8%

On May 6, 2026, REGENXBIO Inc. reached its Data Readout. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -37.8% in the window around the event. It had already run +8.4% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$10.04
1d before
$6.25
Event day
$5.72
1d after
$5.66
5d after

Our prediction vs. the result

CatalystAlert called this one up (+12.4% expected); the stock actually moved -37.8%. Model confidence at the time: 55%.

See the full scored track record

Pre-catalyst setup

+8.4%
30-day run-up
5759%
30-day volatility
2.3×
volume spike