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June 30, 2020 · PDUFA decision

RARE PDUFA decision: a positive outcome, +14.9%

On June 30, 2020, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. reached its PDUFA decision. The result was a positive outcome, and the stock moved +14.9% in the window around the event. It had already run +6.9% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$73.66
1d before
$78.22
Event day
$84.65
1d after
$86.75
5d after

Pre-catalyst setup

+6.9%
30-day run-up
5698%
30-day volatility
0.7×
volume spike