On July 29, 2026, uniQure N.V. reached its earnings. The result was a positive outcome, and the stock moved +9.3% in the window around the event. It had already run -17.8% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$36.66
1d before
$40.07
Event day
$42.19
1d after
$44.06
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.6% expected); the stock actually moved +9.3%. Model confidence at the time: 40%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
-17.8%
30-day run-up
4381%
30-day volatility
1.7×
volume spike