On July 30, 2026, Pharming Group N.V. reached its earnings. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -10.5% in the window around the event. It had already run -6.3% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$12.01
1d before
$10.75
Event day
$10.08
1d after
$10.26
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+3.5% expected); the stock actually moved -10.5%. Model confidence at the time: 67%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
-6.3%
30-day run-up
3727%
30-day volatility
0.6×
volume spike