On August 6, 2026, PepGen Inc. reached its earnings. The result was a positive outcome, and the stock moved +21.7% in the window around the event. It had already run -8.3% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$1.98
1d before
$2.41
Event day
$2.85
1d after
$2.90
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.0% expected); the stock actually moved +21.7%. Model confidence at the time: 35%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
-8.3%
30-day run-up
9244%
30-day volatility
0.6×
volume spike