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May 12, 2026 · Data Readout

OLMA Data Readout: a negative outcome, -6.0%

On May 12, 2026, Olema Pharmaceuticals, Inc. reached its Data Readout. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -6.0% in the window around the event. It had already run -7.5% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$14.86
1d before
$13.97
Event day
$13.58
1d after
$13.59
5d after

Our prediction vs. the result

CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.0% expected); the stock actually moved -6.0%. Model confidence at the time: 35%.

See the full scored track record

Pre-catalyst setup

-7.5%
30-day run-up
3659%
30-day volatility
1.5×
volume spike