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February 28, 2024 · earnings

NVAX earnings: a negative outcome, -26.7%

On February 28, 2024, Novavax, Inc. reached its earnings. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -26.7% in the window around the event. It had already run +26.3% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$6.02
1d before
$4.41
Event day
$4.94
1d after
$5.49
5d after

Pre-catalyst setup

+26.3%
30-day run-up
10282%
30-day volatility
1.8×
volume spike