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August 31, 2026 · NDA filing

KPTI NDA filing: a positive outcome, +10.2%

On August 31, 2026, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. reached its NDA filing. The result was a positive outcome, and the stock moved +10.2% in the window around the event.

The move

$1.87
1d before
$2.06
Event day
$1.85
1d after
$1.79
5d after

Our prediction vs. the result

CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.0% expected); the stock actually moved +10.2%. Model confidence at the time: 35%.

See the full scored track record

Pre-catalyst setup

-2.6%
30-day run-up
8712%
30-day volatility
0.3×
volume spike