November 5, 2026 · conference presentation
IVA conference presentation: a negative outcome, -6.2%
On November 5, 2026, Inventiva S.A. reached its conference presentation. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -6.2% in the window around the event. It had already run +10.7% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$3.87
1d before
$3.63
Event day
$3.63
1d after
$3.63
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.6% expected); the stock actually moved -6.2%. Model confidence at the time: 40%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
+10.7%
30-day run-up
7306%
30-day volatility
0.5×
volume spike