On June 30, 2026, CURIS INC reached its Trial Start. The result was a positive outcome, and the stock moved +18.1% in the window around the event. It had already run -43.4% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$8.84
1d before
$10.44
Event day
$8.44
1d after
$6.93
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.6% expected); the stock actually moved +18.1%. Model confidence at the time: 40%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
-43.4%
30-day run-up
29595%
30-day volatility
5.6×
volume spike