On August 4, 2026, CURIS INC reached its earnings. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -8.3% in the window around the event. It had already run -27.6% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.
The move
$5.15
1d before
$4.72
Event day
$4.54
1d after
$4.02
5d after
Our prediction vs. the result
CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.6% expected); the stock actually moved -8.3%. Model confidence at the time: 40%.
See the full scored track recordPre-catalyst setup
-27.6%
30-day run-up
7130%
30-day volatility
0.7×
volume spike