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March 20, 2020 · Phase 3 readout

AXSM Phase 3 readout: a positive outcome, +17.1%

On March 20, 2020, AXS-05 — Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (Agitation in Patients With Dementia of the Alzheimer's Type) reached its Phase 3 readout. The result was a positive outcome, and the stock moved +17.1% in the window around the event. It had already run -51.0% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$46.47
1d before
$54.40
Event day
$54.40
1d after
$62.50
5d after

Pre-catalyst setup

-51.0%
30-day run-up
23183%
30-day volatility