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August 13, 2026 · earnings

ADCT earnings: a negative outcome, -14.6%

On August 13, 2026, ADC Therapeutics SA reached its earnings. The result was a negative outcome, and the stock moved -14.6% in the window around the event. It had already run -8.1% in the 30 days into the catalyst — the kind of pre-event run-up that often precedes binary readouts.

The move

$1.23
1d before
$1.05
Event day
$1.01
1d after
$1.03
5d after

Our prediction vs. the result

CatalystAlert called this one neutral (+0.0% expected); the stock actually moved -14.6%. Model confidence at the time: 35%.

See the full scored track record

Pre-catalyst setup

-8.1%
30-day run-up
5694%
30-day volatility
0.7×
volume spike